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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

12:30

Venue

The City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

54%

Nottingham Forest

1.85

23%

Draw

4.34

23%

Manchester City

4.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.93

1.11

Manchester City xG

54%
23%
23%
Nottingham ForestDrawManchester City

1.85

54%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

4.36

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

33%

Nottingham Forest

3.03

16%

Manchester City

6.18

Win to Nil

18%

Nottingham Forest

5.61

4%

Manchester City

26.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.9 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 9.7 10.8 6.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.4 6.0 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.821
λ Away (xG) 1.108
Total xG 2.929
League avg home goals 1.486
League avg away goals 1.517
Nottingham Forest attack strength 1.205
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.653
Manchester City attack strength 1.120
Manchester City defence strength 1.017
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65