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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

14:15

Venue

The City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

66%

Nottingham Forest

1.51

21%

Draw

4.66

12%

Leicester

8.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.0%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.52

0.66

Leicester xG

66%
21%
12%
Nottingham ForestDrawLeicester

1.51

66%

Home win

4.66

21%

Draw

8.09

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

52%

Nottingham Forest

1.93

16%

Leicester

6.43

Win to Nil

34%

Nottingham Forest

2.91

2%

Leicester

52.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 15.0 9.9 3.2 0.7 0.1
2 14.0 9.2 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 8.7 5.7 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 4.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
5 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.861
λ Away (xG) 0.656
Total xG 2.517
League avg home goals 1.451
League avg away goals 1.376
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.927
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.745
Leicester attack strength 0.640
Leicester defence strength 1.383
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 35