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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

14:05

Venue

City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

38%

Nottingham Forest

2.61

24%

Draw

4.11

37%

Brighton

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

3.00

1.49

Brighton xG

38%
24%
37%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton

2.61

38%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

23%

Nottingham Forest

4.42

22%

Brighton

4.52

Win to Nil

9%

Nottingham Forest

11.52

8%

Brighton

12.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.4 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.3
1 7.6 11.2 8.3 4.1 1.5 0.5
2 5.7 8.5 6.3 3.1 1.2 0.3
3 2.9 4.3 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.509
λ Away (xG) 1.486
Total xG 2.995
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.244
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.920
Nottingham Forest defence strength 1.196
Brighton attack strength 0.999
Brighton defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50