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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

12:30

Venue

The City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

39%

Nottingham Forest

2.59

28%

Draw

3.54

33%

Brighton

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.74

1.31

Brighton xG

39%
28%
33%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton

2.59

39%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

27%

Nottingham Forest

3.70

24%

Brighton

4.17

Win to Nil

10%

Nottingham Forest

9.56

8%

Brighton

12.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.5 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.3 12.1 7.9 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.7 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.2 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.429
λ Away (xG) 1.307
Total xG 2.736
League avg home goals 1.454
League avg away goals 1.562
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.996
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.770
Brighton attack strength 1.088
Brighton defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61