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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Thu 1 May 2025

19:30

Venue

The City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

41%

Nottingham Forest

2.43

29%

Draw

3.50

30%

Brentford

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.24

1.01

Brentford xG

41%
29%
30%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrentford

2.43

41%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

36%

Nottingham Forest

2.75

29%

Brentford

3.42

Win to Nil

15%

Nottingham Forest

6.68

9%

Brentford

11.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 10.8 5.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 13.1 13.2 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.0 8.1 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.3 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.230
λ Away (xG) 1.011
Total xG 2.241
League avg home goals 1.488
League avg away goals 1.406
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.998
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.660
Brentford attack strength 1.089
Brentford defence strength 0.828
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71