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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

51%

Newcastle

1.96

23%

Draw

4.29

26%

Wolves

3.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Newcastle xG

Total xG

2.98

1.20

Wolves xG

51%
23%
26%
NewcastleDrawWolves

1.96

51%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

3.89

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

30%

Newcastle

3.32

17%

Wolves

5.94

Win to Nil

15%

Newcastle

6.51

4%

Wolves

23.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.1 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.0 10.8 6.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.8 5.7 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.781
λ Away (xG) 1.200
Total xG 2.981
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 1.229
Newcastle attack strength 1.204
Newcastle defence strength 1.084
Wolves attack strength 0.901
Wolves defence strength 1.013
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41