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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

48%

Newcastle

2.08

23%

Draw

4.38

29%

Nottingham Forest

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Newcastle xG

Total xG

3.20

1.38

Nottingham Forest xG

48%
23%
29%
NewcastleDrawNottingham Forest

2.08

48%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

25%

Newcastle

3.97

16%

Nottingham Forest

6.19

Win to Nil

12%

Newcastle

8.27

5%

Nottingham Forest

21.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.6 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.4 10.2 7.1 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 9.3 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.1 5.7 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.823
λ Away (xG) 1.379
Total xG 3.202
League avg home goals 1.468
League avg away goals 1.551
Newcastle attack strength 1.120
Newcastle defence strength 0.912
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.975
Nottingham Forest defence strength 1.109
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63