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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Newcastle Win
62%
1.62
25%
4.05
14%
7.38
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
11.2%
Home win
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.01
Newcastle xG
Total xG
2.88
0.88
Leeds xG
NewcastleDrawLeeds
1.62
62%
Home win
4.05
25%
Draw
7.38
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.90
47%
BTTS No
2.11
Clean Sheet
42%
2.40
13%
7.46
Win to Nil
26%
3.89
2%
55.02
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 11.2 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.3 | 9.9 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.009
λ Away (xG)
0.876
Total xG
2.885
League avg home goals
1.504
League avg away goals
1.245
Newcastle attack strength
1.187
Newcastle defence strength
0.934
Leeds attack strength
0.753
Leeds defence strength
1.126
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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