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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Wed 2 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

33%

Newcastle

3.02

23%

Draw

4.28

44%

Brentford

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

2 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Newcastle xG

Total xG

3.17

1.71

Brentford xG

33%
23%
44%
NewcastleDrawBrentford

3.02

33%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

2.30

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

18%

Newcastle

5.50

23%

Brentford

4.31

Win to Nil

6%

Newcastle

16.62

10%

Brentford

9.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 7.2 6.1 3.5 1.5 0.5
1 6.2 10.5 9.0 5.1 2.2 0.7
2 4.5 7.7 6.5 3.7 1.6 0.5
3 2.2 3.7 3.2 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.461
λ Away (xG) 1.705
Total xG 3.166
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.463
Newcastle attack strength 1.230
Newcastle defence strength 1.042
Brentford attack strength 1.118
Brentford defence strength 0.827
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 67