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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Newcastle Win
47%
2.12
26%
3.89
27%
3.68
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.7%
Draw
2 – 2
6.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.04
Newcastle xG
Total xG
3.58
1.54
Aston Villa xG
NewcastleDrawAston Villa
2.12
47%
Home win
3.89
26%
Draw
3.68
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
69%
Over 2.5
1.45
31%
Under 2.5
3.23
48%
Over 3.5
2.08
52%
Under 3.5
1.92
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
71%
BTTS Yes
1.42
29%
BTTS No
3.40
Clean Sheet
21%
4.68
13%
7.69
Win to Nil
10%
9.94
4%
28.31
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 5.7 | 8.7 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 6.1 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.040
λ Away (xG)
1.544
Total xG
3.584
League avg home goals
1.499
League avg away goals
1.201
Newcastle attack strength
1.284
Newcastle defence strength
1.102
Aston Villa attack strength
1.167
Aston Villa defence strength
1.060
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 60