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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

47%

Manchester United

2.13

30%

Draw

3.30

23%

Sunderland

4.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Manchester United xG

Total xG

2.10

0.81

Sunderland xG

47%
30%
23%
Manchester UnitedDrawSunderland

2.13

47%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

4.38

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

44%

Manchester United

2.25

28%

Sunderland

3.61

Win to Nil

21%

Manchester United

4.80

6%

Sunderland

15.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 10.0 4.0 1.1 0.2
1 15.8 12.8 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 10.2 8.2 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.3 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.285
λ Away (xG) 0.811
Total xG 2.096
League avg home goals 1.441
League avg away goals 1.228
Manchester United attack strength 1.000
Manchester United defence strength 1.009
Sunderland attack strength 0.654
Sunderland defence strength 0.892
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 6