Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Thu 16 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

49%

Manchester United

2.02

31%

Draw

3.20

19%

Southampton

5.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Manchester United xG

Total xG

2.32

0.85

Southampton xG

49%
31%
19%
Manchester UnitedDrawSouthampton

2.02

49%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

5.19

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

43%

Manchester United

2.34

23%

Southampton

4.37

Win to Nil

21%

Manchester United

4.72

4%

Southampton

22.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 8.3 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 14.4 12.3 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.0 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 5.2 4.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.475
λ Away (xG) 0.849
Total xG 2.324
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.501
Manchester United attack strength 0.965
Manchester United defence strength 1.051
Southampton attack strength 0.538
Southampton defence strength 1.049
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 20