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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

12:30

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

33%

Manchester United

3.05

24%

Draw

4.10

43%

Nottingham Forest

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Manchester United xG

Total xG

3.46

1.85

Nottingham Forest xG

33%
24%
43%
Manchester UnitedDrawNottingham Forest

3.05

33%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.46

31%

BTTS No

3.18

Clean Sheet

16%

Manchester United

6.38

20%

Nottingham Forest

5.01

Win to Nil

5%

Manchester United

19.42

9%

Nottingham Forest

11.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 5.8 5.4 3.3 1.5 0.6
1 5.0 9.3 8.7 5.3 2.5 0.9
2 4.1 7.5 7.0 4.3 2.0 0.7
3 2.2 4.0 3.7 2.3 1.1 0.4
4 0.9 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.612
λ Away (xG) 1.853
Total xG 3.465
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.224
Manchester United attack strength 1.225
Manchester United defence strength 1.062
Nottingham Forest attack strength 1.425
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.894
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74