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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

16:30

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

32%

Manchester United

3.15

23%

Draw

4.32

45%

Manchester City

2.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

2 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Manchester United xG

Total xG

3.20

1.75

Manchester City xG

32%
23%
45%
Manchester UnitedDrawManchester City

3.15

32%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

2.22

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

17%

Manchester United

5.78

24%

Manchester City

4.23

Win to Nil

5%

Manchester United

18.19

11%

Manchester City

9.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 7.2 6.3 3.7 1.6 0.6
1 5.9 10.3 9.1 5.3 2.3 0.8
2 4.3 7.5 6.5 3.8 1.7 0.6
3 2.0 3.6 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.443
λ Away (xG) 1.755
Total xG 3.198
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.420
Manchester United attack strength 1.015
Manchester United defence strength 1.142
Manchester City attack strength 1.082
Manchester City defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68