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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

47%

Manchester United

2.11

30%

Draw

3.35

23%

Crystal Palace

4.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Manchester United xG

Total xG

2.64

1.05

Crystal Palace xG

47%
30%
23%
Manchester UnitedDrawCrystal Palace

2.11

47%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

4.39

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

35%

Manchester United

2.86

20%

Crystal Palace

4.88

Win to Nil

17%

Manchester United

6.04

5%

Crystal Palace

21.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.5 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.4 11.9 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.5 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.585
λ Away (xG) 1.051
Total xG 2.636
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.302
Manchester United attack strength 1.196
Manchester United defence strength 0.920
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.877
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.922
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65