Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

55%

Manchester United

1.81

26%

Draw

3.91

19%

Burnley

5.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Manchester United xG

Total xG

2.39

0.81

Burnley xG

55%
26%
19%
Manchester UnitedDrawBurnley

1.81

55%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

5.25

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

44%

Manchester United

2.25

21%

Burnley

4.85

Win to Nil

25%

Manchester United

4.06

4%

Burnley

25.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 7.4 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 14.5 11.7 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.3 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 6.0 4.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.579
λ Away (xG) 0.811
Total xG 2.390
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.195
Manchester United attack strength 0.815
Manchester United defence strength 0.976
Burnley attack strength 0.696
Burnley defence strength 1.302
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 2