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Manchester United vs Bournemouth – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

46%

Manchester United

2.17

25%

Draw

4.05

29%

Bournemouth

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Manchester United xG

Total xG

3.49

1.54

Bournemouth xG

46%
25%
29%
Manchester UnitedDrawBournemouth

2.17

46%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.20

Clean Sheet

22%

Manchester United

4.65

14%

Bournemouth

7.05

Win to Nil

10%

Manchester United

10.06

4%

Bournemouth

24.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 4.7 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.2
1 6.0 9.2 7.0 3.6 1.4 0.4
2 5.8 8.9 6.9 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 3.8 5.8 4.5 2.3 0.9 0.3
4 1.9 2.8 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.953
λ Away (xG) 1.536
Total xG 3.489
League avg home goals 1.596
League avg away goals 1.483
Manchester United attack strength 1.126
Manchester United defence strength 0.959
Bournemouth attack strength 1.080
Bournemouth defence strength 1.086
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54