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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

50%

Manchester United

2.02

26%

Draw

3.79

24%

Aston Villa

4.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Manchester United xG

Total xG

2.90

1.16

Aston Villa xG

50%
26%
24%
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa

2.02

50%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

4.16

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

31%

Manchester United

3.20

18%

Aston Villa

5.70

Win to Nil

15%

Manchester United

6.45

4%

Aston Villa

23.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 6.4 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.6 11.1 6.4 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.7 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 4.8 5.6 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.741
λ Away (xG) 1.162
Total xG 2.903
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.275
Manchester United attack strength 1.243
Manchester United defence strength 0.928
Aston Villa attack strength 0.982
Aston Villa defence strength 1.011
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67