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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

16:00

Venue

Old Trafford

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

25%

Manchester United

3.94

26%

Draw

3.81

48%

Aston Villa

2.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Manchester United xG

Total xG

2.46

1.47

Aston Villa xG

25%
26%
48%
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa

3.94

25%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.07

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

23%

Manchester United

4.37

37%

Aston Villa

2.69

Win to Nil

6%

Manchester United

17.21

18%

Aston Villa

5.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 12.5 9.2 4.5 1.7 0.5
1 8.4 12.4 9.2 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 4.2 6.1 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.4 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.990
λ Away (xG) 1.474
Total xG 2.464
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.374
Manchester United attack strength 0.752
Manchester United defence strength 1.066
Aston Villa attack strength 1.006
Aston Villa defence strength 0.897
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75