🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
18%
5.47
21%
4.65
60%
1.66
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
10.4%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 2
10.2%
Away win
1 – 1
10.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.98
Manchester United xG
Total xG
2.94
1.96
Arsenal xG
Manchester UnitedDrawArsenal
5.47
18%
Home win
4.65
21%
Draw
1.66
60%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.86
46%
BTTS No
2.16
Clean Sheet
14%
7.10
38%
2.66
Win to Nil
3%
38.82
23%
4.42
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 10.4 | 10.2 | 6.6 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 | 5.2 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.979
λ Away (xG)
1.960
Total xG
2.939
League avg home goals
1.456
League avg away goals
1.487
Manchester United attack strength
1.006
Manchester United defence strength
1.181
Arsenal attack strength
1.116
Arsenal defence strength
0.668
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
65 / 65