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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

61%

Manchester City

1.63

21%

Draw

4.69

18%

West Ham

5.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

Manchester City xG

Total xG

2.92

0.95

West Ham xG

61%
21%
18%
Manchester CityDrawWest Ham

1.63

61%

Home win

4.69

21%

Draw

5.70

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

39%

Manchester City

2.59

14%

West Ham

7.19

Win to Nil

24%

Manchester City

4.23

2%

West Ham

40.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 5.1 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 10.6 10.1 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.9 6.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
4 3.4 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.972
λ Away (xG) 0.950
Total xG 2.922
League avg home goals 1.573
League avg away goals 1.304
Manchester City attack strength 1.375
Manchester City defence strength 0.773
West Ham attack strength 0.943
West Ham defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54