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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

47%

Manchester City

2.13

27%

Draw

3.66

26%

West Ham

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Manchester City xG

Total xG

3.05

1.28

West Ham xG

47%
27%
26%
Manchester CityDrawWest Ham

2.13

47%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.62

Clean Sheet

28%

Manchester City

3.60

17%

West Ham

5.85

Win to Nil

13%

Manchester City

7.67

4%

West Ham

22.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.1 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.4 10.7 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.4 5.6 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.767
λ Away (xG) 1.280
Total xG 3.047
League avg home goals 1.467
League avg away goals 1.477
Manchester City attack strength 1.149
Manchester City defence strength 1.066
West Ham attack strength 0.812
West Ham defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57