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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

54%

Manchester City

1.85

22%

Draw

4.46

23%

Tottenham

4.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Manchester City xG

Total xG

3.12

1.20

Tottenham xG

54%
22%
23%
Manchester CityDrawTottenham

1.85

54%

Home win

4.46

22%

Draw

4.28

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

30%

Manchester City

3.32

15%

Tottenham

6.86

Win to Nil

16%

Manchester City

6.12

3%

Tottenham

29.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.3 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.5 10.1 6.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.8 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.2 6.3 3.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.5 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.926
λ Away (xG) 1.199
Total xG 3.125
League avg home goals 1.457
League avg away goals 1.320
Manchester City attack strength 1.188
Manchester City defence strength 0.939
Tottenham attack strength 0.968
Tottenham defence strength 1.113
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39