Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

64%

Manchester City

1.57

22%

Draw

4.49

14%

Sunderland

7.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Manchester City xG

Total xG

2.50

0.70

Sunderland xG

64%
22%
14%
Manchester CityDrawSunderland

1.57

64%

Home win

4.49

22%

Draw

7.18

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

50%

Manchester City

2.01

17%

Sunderland

6.05

Win to Nil

32%

Manchester City

3.15

2%

Sunderland

43.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.8 10.3 3.6 0.8 0.1
2 13.3 9.3 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 8.0 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 3.6 2.5 0.9 0.2
5 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.800
λ Away (xG) 0.698
Total xG 2.498
League avg home goals 1.532
League avg away goals 1.290
Manchester City attack strength 1.346
Manchester City defence strength 0.831
Sunderland attack strength 0.651
Sunderland defence strength 0.873
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 14