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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Wed 4 Mar 2026

19:30

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

67%

Manchester City

1.49

22%

Draw

4.51

11%

Nottingham Forest

9.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Manchester City xG

Total xG

2.96

0.80

Nottingham Forest xG

67%
22%
Manchester CityDrawNottingham Forest

1.49

67%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

9.16

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

45%

Manchester City

2.22

12%

Nottingham Forest

8.65

Win to Nil

30%

Manchester City

3.32

1%

Nottingham Forest

79.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 4.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 11.2 9.0 3.6 1.0 0.2
2 12.1 9.7 3.9 1.0 0.2
3 8.7 7.0 2.8 0.7 0.1
4 4.7 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.157
λ Away (xG) 0.799
Total xG 2.956
League avg home goals 1.434
League avg away goals 1.278
Manchester City attack strength 1.367
Manchester City defence strength 0.695
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.899
Nottingham Forest defence strength 1.101
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66