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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

40%

Manchester City

2.50

24%

Draw

4.12

36%

Newcastle

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Manchester City xG

Total xG

3.46

1.68

Newcastle xG

40%
24%
36%
Manchester CityDrawNewcastle

2.50

40%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.46

31%

BTTS No

3.18

Clean Sheet

19%

Manchester City

5.35

17%

Newcastle

5.93

Win to Nil

7%

Manchester City

13.40

6%

Newcastle

16.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 5.3 4.4 2.5 1.0 0.3
1 5.6 9.4 7.9 4.4 1.9 0.6
2 5.0 8.4 7.0 3.9 1.6 0.6
3 3.0 5.0 4.2 2.3 1.0 0.3
4 1.3 2.2 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.780
λ Away (xG) 1.678
Total xG 3.458
League avg home goals 1.510
League avg away goals 1.537
Manchester City attack strength 1.293
Manchester City defence strength 0.971
Newcastle attack strength 1.125
Newcastle defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62