Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

16:30

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

43%

Manchester City

2.33

26%

Draw

3.89

31%

Manchester United

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Manchester City xG

Total xG

2.67

1.21

Manchester United xG

43%
26%
31%
Manchester CityDrawManchester United

2.33

43%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

30%

Manchester City

3.36

23%

Manchester United

4.31

Win to Nil

13%

Manchester City

7.84

7%

Manchester United

13.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.4 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.2
1 10.1 12.2 7.4 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 8.9 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.6 4.3 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.461
λ Away (xG) 1.212
Total xG 2.673
League avg home goals 1.348
League avg away goals 1.171
Manchester City attack strength 1.056
Manchester City defence strength 1.044
Manchester United attack strength 0.991
Manchester United defence strength 1.026
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41