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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

16:30

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

62%

Manchester City

1.61

20%

Draw

4.99

18%

Liverpool

5.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

2 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

Manchester City xG

Total xG

3.35

1.12

Liverpool xG

62%
20%
18%
Manchester CityDrawLiverpool

1.61

62%

Home win

4.99

20%

Draw

5.61

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.65

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

32%

Manchester City

3.08

11%

Liverpool

9.29

Win to Nil

20%

Manchester City

4.96

2%

Liverpool

52.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 3.9 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 7.8 8.8 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 9.8 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.5 7.3 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.6 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.229
λ Away (xG) 1.124
Total xG 3.353
League avg home goals 1.570
League avg away goals 1.150
Manchester City attack strength 1.289
Manchester City defence strength 0.810
Liverpool attack strength 1.206
Liverpool defence strength 1.101
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48