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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Liverpool Win
39%
2.59
21%
4.71
40%
2.49
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
8.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
7.7%
Away win
2 – 1
7.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.89
Manchester City xG
Total xG
3.82
1.93
Liverpool xG
Manchester CityDrawLiverpool
2.59
39%
Home win
4.71
21%
Draw
2.49
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
73%
Over 2.5
1.37
27%
Under 2.5
3.70
53%
Over 3.5
1.89
47%
Under 3.5
2.13
34%
Over 4.5
2.94
66%
Under 4.5
1.52
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
73%
BTTS Yes
1.38
27%
BTTS No
3.64
Clean Sheet
15%
6.88
15%
6.61
Win to Nil
6%
17.84
6%
16.44
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 4.2 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 3.9 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.888
λ Away (xG)
1.929
Total xG
3.817
League avg home goals
1.482
League avg away goals
1.562
Manchester City attack strength
1.431
Manchester City defence strength
0.846
Liverpool attack strength
1.460
Liverpool defence strength
0.890
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
63 / 64