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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Wed 2 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

74%

Manchester City

1.35

15%

Draw

6.47

10%

Leicester

9.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

3 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.57

Manchester City xG

Total xG

3.44

0.86

Leicester xG

74%
15%
Manchester CityDrawLeicester

1.35

74%

Home win

6.47

15%

Draw

9.70

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

42%

Manchester City

2.37

8%

Leicester

13.12

Win to Nil

31%

Manchester City

3.19

1%

Leicester

127.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 8.3 7.1 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 10.7 9.2 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 9.2 7.9 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 5.9 5.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
5 3.0 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.574
λ Away (xG) 0.862
Total xG 3.436
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.463
Manchester City attack strength 1.278
Manchester City defence strength 0.937
Leicester attack strength 0.629
Leicester defence strength 1.402
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 29