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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

84%

Manchester City

1.19

11%

Draw

9.18

5%

Leeds

20.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

12.2%

Home win

4 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.93

Manchester City xG

Total xG

3.53

0.60

Leeds xG

84%
11%
Manchester CityDrawLeeds

1.19

84%

Home win

9.18

11%

Draw

20.04

5%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

55%

Manchester City

1.83

5%

Leeds

18.69

Win to Nil

46%

Manchester City

2.18

0%

Leeds

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 8.6 5.2 1.6 0.3
2 12.5 7.6 2.3 0.5 0.1
3 12.2 7.4 2.2 0.5 0.1
4 8.9 5.4 1.6 0.3
5 5.2 3.2 1.0 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.928
λ Away (xG) 0.605
Total xG 3.533
League avg home goals 1.551
League avg away goals 1.181
Manchester City attack strength 1.325
Manchester City defence strength 0.743
Leeds attack strength 0.690
Leeds defence strength 1.424
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 12