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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

55%

Manchester City

1.82

24%

Draw

4.22

21%

Everton

4.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Manchester City xG

Total xG

2.96

1.09

Everton xG

55%
24%
21%
Manchester CityDrawEverton

1.82

55%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

4.70

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

34%

Manchester City

2.97

15%

Everton

6.49

Win to Nil

19%

Manchester City

5.39

3%

Everton

30.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 5.6 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.7 10.6 5.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.9 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.7 6.2 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.870
λ Away (xG) 1.088
Total xG 2.958
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.185
Manchester City attack strength 1.331
Manchester City defence strength 0.929
Everton attack strength 0.988
Everton defence strength 0.982
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45