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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

12:30

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

57%

Manchester City

1.76

27%

Draw

3.76

16%

Everton

6.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Manchester City xG

Total xG

2.73

0.91

Everton xG

57%
27%
16%
Manchester CityDrawEverton

1.76

57%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

6.06

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

40%

Manchester City

2.48

16%

Everton

6.18

Win to Nil

23%

Manchester City

4.36

3%

Everton

37.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 5.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.9 10.8 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.8 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.6 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.0 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.821
λ Away (xG) 0.909
Total xG 2.730
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.517
Manchester City attack strength 1.186
Manchester City defence strength 1.042
Everton attack strength 0.575
Everton defence strength 0.992
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 54