Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

12:30

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

38%

Manchester City

2.62

27%

Draw

3.71

35%

Crystal Palace

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Manchester City xG

Total xG

2.50

1.22

Crystal Palace xG

38%
27%
35%
Manchester CityDrawCrystal Palace

2.62

38%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

30%

Manchester City

3.38

28%

Crystal Palace

3.61

Win to Nil

11%

Manchester City

8.88

10%

Crystal Palace

10.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 10.0 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.5 12.8 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.7 8.2 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.285
λ Away (xG) 1.219
Total xG 2.504
League avg home goals 1.408
League avg away goals 1.414
Manchester City attack strength 1.245
Manchester City defence strength 0.900
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.958
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.733
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 68