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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 5 Sep 2026

15:00

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

64%

Manchester City

1.57

22%

Draw

4.53

14%

Coventry

7.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.10

Manchester City xG

Total xG

3.00

0.90

Coventry xG

64%
22%
14%
Manchester CityDrawCoventry

1.57

64%

Home win

4.53

22%

Draw

7.10

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

41%

Manchester City

2.46

12%

Coventry

8.15

Win to Nil

26%

Manchester City

3.86

2%

Coventry

57.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.4 9.4 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.9 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.7 6.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 4.0 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.098
λ Away (xG) 0.902
Total xG 3.000
League avg home goals 1.531
League avg away goals 1.214
Manchester City attack strength 1.191
Manchester City defence strength 0.874
Coventry attack strength 0.850
Coventry defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0