Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

17:30

Venue

Etihad Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

56%

Manchester City

1.78

25%

Draw

4.01

19%

Brentford

5.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Manchester City xG

Total xG

2.85

1.00

Brentford xG

56%
25%
19%
Manchester CityDrawBrentford

1.78

56%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

5.29

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

37%

Manchester City

2.71

16%

Brentford

6.35

Win to Nil

21%

Manchester City

4.83

3%

Brentford

33.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 5.8 2.9 1.0 0.2
1 10.7 10.7 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 6.1 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.849
λ Away (xG) 0.997
Total xG 2.846
League avg home goals 1.442
League avg away goals 1.233
Manchester City attack strength 1.319
Manchester City defence strength 0.819
Brentford attack strength 0.988
Brentford defence strength 0.972
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 73