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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Wed 3 Dec 2025

20:15

Venue

Anfield

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool Win

50%

Liverpool

2.01

27%

Draw

3.66

23%

Sunderland

4.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Liverpool xG

Total xG

2.25

0.85

Sunderland xG

50%
27%
23%
LiverpoolDrawSunderland

2.01

50%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

4.38

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

43%

Liverpool

2.34

25%

Sunderland

4.05

Win to Nil

21%

Liverpool

4.70

6%

Sunderland

17.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 9.0 3.8 1.1 0.2
1 14.7 12.5 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.3 8.8 3.7 1.1 0.2
3 4.8 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.399
λ Away (xG) 0.851
Total xG 2.250
League avg home goals 1.515
League avg away goals 1.298
Liverpool attack strength 1.030
Liverpool defence strength 1.034
Sunderland attack strength 0.634
Sunderland defence strength 0.897
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 13