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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Thu 1 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Anfield

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool Win

59%

Liverpool

1.69

22%

Draw

4.57

19%

Leeds

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Liverpool xG

Total xG

2.90

0.98

Leeds xG

59%
22%
19%
LiverpoolDrawLeeds

1.69

59%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

38%

Liverpool

2.66

15%

Leeds

6.80

Win to Nil

22%

Liverpool

4.49

3%

Leeds

36.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 5.4 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 10.6 10.4 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.5 6.4 3.1 1.0 0.2
4 3.1 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.917
λ Away (xG) 0.979
Total xG 2.896
League avg home goals 1.514
League avg away goals 1.279
Liverpool attack strength 1.035
Liverpool defence strength 0.965
Leeds attack strength 0.794
Leeds defence strength 1.223
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 18