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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Anfield

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool Win

54%

Liverpool

1.84

23%

Draw

4.34

23%

Everton

4.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Liverpool xG

Total xG

2.90

1.08

Everton xG

54%
23%
23%
LiverpoolDrawEverton

1.84

54%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

4.43

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

34%

Liverpool

2.96

16%

Everton

6.12

Win to Nil

18%

Liverpool

5.43

4%

Everton

27.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 6.0 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.0 10.9 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.8 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.5 5.9 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.812
λ Away (xG) 1.084
Total xG 2.896
League avg home goals 1.371
League avg away goals 1.153
Liverpool attack strength 1.362
Liverpool defence strength 0.918
Everton attack strength 1.023
Everton defence strength 0.970
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42