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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Liverpool Win
44%
2.28
27%
3.75
30%
3.39
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.6%
Home win
0 – 1
9.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.40
Liverpool xG
Total xG
2.49
1.10
Aston Villa xG
LiverpoolDrawAston Villa
2.28
44%
Home win
3.75
27%
Draw
3.39
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.00
50%
BTTS No
2.00
Clean Sheet
33%
2.99
25%
4.04
Win to Nil
15%
6.83
7%
13.68
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.6 | 12.7 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.396
λ Away (xG)
1.096
Total xG
2.492
League avg home goals
1.472
League avg away goals
1.195
Liverpool attack strength
1.166
Liverpool defence strength
0.993
Aston Villa attack strength
0.924
Aston Villa defence strength
0.813
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
47 / 47