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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:00

Venue

King Power Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

25%

Leicester

3.95

28%

Draw

3.63

47%

Southampton

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Leicester xG

Total xG

2.29

1.37

Southampton xG

25%
28%
47%
LeicesterDrawSouthampton

3.95

25%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

25%

Leicester

3.93

40%

Southampton

2.51

Win to Nil

6%

Leicester

15.52

19%

Southampton

5.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 13.9 9.5 4.3 1.5 0.4
1 9.3 12.8 8.7 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 4.3 5.9 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.922
λ Away (xG) 1.368
Total xG 2.290
League avg home goals 1.468
League avg away goals 1.398
Leicester attack strength 0.472
Leicester defence strength 1.371
Southampton attack strength 0.714
Southampton defence strength 1.332
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34