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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Mon 7 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

King Power Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

14%

Leicester

7.22

20%

Draw

4.98

66%

Newcastle

1.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

12.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.81

Leicester xG

Total xG

2.85

2.04

Newcastle xG

14%
20%
66%
LeicesterDrawNewcastle

7.22

14%

Home win

4.98

20%

Draw

1.51

66%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

13%

Leicester

7.69

45%

Newcastle

2.24

Win to Nil

2%

Leicester

55.53

29%

Newcastle

3.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 11.8 12.1 8.2 4.2 1.7
1 4.7 9.6 9.7 6.6 3.4 1.4
2 1.9 3.9 3.9 2.7 1.4 0.6
3 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.808
λ Away (xG) 2.040
Total xG 2.848
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.407
Leicester attack strength 0.566
Leicester defence strength 1.463
Newcastle attack strength 0.991
Newcastle defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 67