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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

14:30

Venue

King Power Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

26%

Leicester

3.85

28%

Draw

3.64

47%

Manchester City

2.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Leicester xG

Total xG

3.02

1.75

Manchester City xG

26%
28%
47%
LeicesterDrawManchester City

3.85

26%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

2.15

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.59

Clean Sheet

17%

Leicester

5.73

28%

Manchester City

3.57

Win to Nil

5%

Leicester

22.08

13%

Manchester City

7.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 8.5 7.4 4.3 1.9 0.7
1 6.2 10.9 9.5 5.5 2.4 0.8
2 4.0 6.9 6.0 3.5 1.5 0.5
3 1.7 2.9 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.2
4 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.273
λ Away (xG) 1.746
Total xG 3.019
League avg home goals 1.505
League avg away goals 1.456
Leicester attack strength 0.830
Leicester defence strength 1.193
Manchester City attack strength 1.005
Manchester City defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 56