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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 3 Mar 2026

19:30

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

54%

Leeds

1.86

29%

Draw

3.42

17%

Sunderland

5.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.46

0.83

Sunderland xG

54%
29%
17%
LeedsDrawSunderland

1.86

54%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

5.93

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

44%

Leeds

2.30

20%

Sunderland

5.07

Win to Nil

23%

Leeds

4.26

3%

Sunderland

30.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 7.1 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 13.9 11.6 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.4 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 6.1 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.5 2.1 0.9 0.2
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.624
λ Away (xG) 0.832
Total xG 2.456
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.298
Leeds attack strength 0.996
Leeds defence strength 1.098
Sunderland attack strength 0.584
Sunderland defence strength 1.127
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 28