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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 6 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

35%

Leeds

2.84

32%

Draw

3.16

33%

Nottingham Forest

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.72

1.34

Nottingham Forest xG

35%
32%
33%
LeedsDrawNottingham Forest

2.84

35%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

26%

Leeds

3.82

25%

Nottingham Forest

3.99

Win to Nil

9%

Leeds

10.86

8%

Nottingham Forest

12.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.8 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.1 12.2 8.2 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 8.4 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 2.9 3.9 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.383
λ Away (xG) 1.340
Total xG 2.723
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.263
Leeds attack strength 1.001
Leeds defence strength 1.173
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.905
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.929
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 62