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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

12:30

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

44%

Leeds

2.28

23%

Draw

4.38

33%

Manchester United

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Leeds xG

Total xG

3.80

1.77

Manchester United xG

44%
23%
33%
LeedsDrawManchester United

2.28

44%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.37

27%

BTTS No

3.69

Clean Sheet

17%

Leeds

5.85

13%

Manchester United

7.63

Win to Nil

7%

Leeds

13.36

4%

Manchester United

22.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2 4.0 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.3
1 4.6 8.0 7.1 4.2 1.8 0.7
2 4.6 8.2 7.2 4.3 1.9 0.7
3 3.1 5.5 4.9 2.9 1.3 0.4
4 1.6 2.8 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.032
λ Away (xG) 1.767
Total xG 3.799
League avg home goals 1.506
League avg away goals 1.241
Leeds attack strength 1.232
Leeds defence strength 1.134
Manchester United attack strength 1.256
Manchester United defence strength 1.095
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 57