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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

47%

Leeds

2.12

28%

Draw

3.63

25%

Fulham

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Leeds xG

Total xG

3.14

1.32

Fulham xG

47%
28%
25%
LeedsDrawFulham

2.12

47%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

27%

Leeds

3.73

16%

Fulham

6.20

Win to Nil

13%

Leeds

7.92

4%

Fulham

24.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 5.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 7.9 10.4 6.8 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.4 5.8 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.825
λ Away (xG) 1.316
Total xG 3.141
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.240
Leeds attack strength 1.151
Leeds defence strength 1.103
Fulham attack strength 0.962
Fulham defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 59