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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Mon 18 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Everton Win

28%

Leeds

3.60

28%

Draw

3.52

44%

Everton

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.2%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.43

1.38

Everton xG

28%
28%
44%
LeedsDrawEverton

3.60

28%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

25%

Leeds

3.98

35%

Everton

2.85

Win to Nil

7%

Leeds

14.34

15%

Everton

6.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 12.2 8.4 3.9 1.3 0.4
1 9.2 12.8 8.8 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 4.8 6.7 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.7 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.048
λ Away (xG) 1.382
Total xG 2.430
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.282
Leeds attack strength 0.850
Leeds defence strength 1.150
Everton attack strength 0.938
Everton defence strength 0.830
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 0 / 38