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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
21%
4.85
24%
4.15
55%
1.81
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
12.3%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
0 – 2
10.4%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.93
Leeds xG
Total xG
2.62
1.69
Chelsea xG
LeedsDrawChelsea
4.85
21%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
1.81
55%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.03
51%
BTTS No
1.97
Clean Sheet
18%
5.42
39%
2.53
Win to Nil
4%
26.27
22%
4.58
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 12.3 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 6.8 | 11.4 | 9.7 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.929
λ Away (xG)
1.690
Total xG
2.619
League avg home goals
1.515
League avg away goals
1.298
Leeds attack strength
0.817
Leeds defence strength
1.061
Chelsea attack strength
1.227
Chelsea defence strength
0.751
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
13 / 51