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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

15:00

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

39%

Leeds

2.57

29%

Draw

3.40

32%

Brighton

3.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.56

1.21

Brighton xG

39%
29%
32%
LeedsDrawBrighton

2.57

39%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

3.15

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

30%

Leeds

3.34

26%

Brighton

3.89

Win to Nil

12%

Leeds

8.59

8%

Brighton

12.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.3 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.5 12.6 7.6 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 8.6 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.2 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.358
λ Away (xG) 1.206
Total xG 2.564
League avg home goals 1.481
League avg away goals 1.225
Leeds attack strength 0.954
Leeds defence strength 0.992
Brighton attack strength 0.993
Brighton defence strength 0.962
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 74